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Matteo Arnaldi vs Nicolas Jarry Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Arnaldi vs Jarry analysis and find out who is favored!
Matteo Arnaldi vs Nicolas Jarry Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Arnaldi 0 - 3 Jarry
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Arnaldi has won 51.42% of points on his second serve, while Jarry has won 51.9%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Arnaldi, in recent form, has won 48.23% of his opponent's second serve points, while Jarry has won 48.34%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.64% and 28.06% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Arnaldi has saved 60.93% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Jarry has saved 65.45% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Arnaldi has won 63.77% of matches played (W/L 44/ 25), with Jarry winning 63.08% (W/L 41/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 121/ 60), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 12/ 19). Jarry has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 296/ 158), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 33% (W/L 9/ 18).
- Player level: In the last year, Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 59.26% of matches (W/L 16/ 11), where as Jarry has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 64.29% of matches (W/L 18/ 10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Arnaldi winning 0 times. They have played 8 sets in total, with Arnaldi winning 2 and Jarry winning 6. The last match between Arnaldi and Jarry was at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome, 11-05-2024, Second, Clay with Nicolas Jarry getting the victory 6-2 7-6(6).
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:50:59.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Arnaldi and Jarry have played a deciding set 2 times, with Arnaldi winning 0 times and Jarry 2 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 5 tiebreaks against each other with Arnaldi winning 2, and Jarry 3.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Arnaldi has played against opponents with an average rank of 171.62 while Jarry has played against players with an average rank of 124.54.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Arnaldi has won 53% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Jarry has won 60% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Arnaldi has converted 34.48% of breakpoint opportunities, and Jarry has converted 34.39% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
36
Rank
35
High
23
Age
Plays
0
Total3
0
Hard2
0
Clay1
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
16
Rank
16
High
28
Age
R
Plays
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
L
Form
L
L
L
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
63% (203-118)
Career Total W/L
60% (392-257)
55% (16-13)
YTD W/L
57% (16-12)
$1,222,595
Career Prize Money
$3,156,540
0
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Matteo Arnaldi | Nicolas Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 0 | 3 |
| Sets Won | 2 | 6 |
| Games Won | 41 | 51 |
| Aces (Total) | 29 | 26 |
| DFs (Total) | 15 | 7 |
| Avg Match Time | 2:50:59 | 2:50:59 |
| 1st Serve % | 59% (181/307) | 66% (202/304) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 73% (133/181) | 76% (153/202) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 46% (58/126) | 49% (50/102) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 30% (6/20) | 34% (10/29) |
| Return Points W% | 33% (101/304) | 38% (116/307) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 0% (0/3) | 100% (3/3) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 40% (2/5) | 60% (3/5) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 0% (0/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| 1st set W, W | 0% (2/0) | 100% (1/1) |
| 1st set W, L | 100% (2/2) | 0% (1/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (1/0) | 100% (2/2) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-2 7-6(6) |
Stats 
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
60%
(
43 of
72)
1st Serve %
52%
(
39 of
75)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
79%
(
34 of
43)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
28 of
39)
55%
(
16 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
15 of
36)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
31%
(
22 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
32 of
75)
82
Total Points Won
65
|
||||
| 6-7(5) 7-6(7) 6-4 |
Stats
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
65%
(
81 of
124)
1st Serve %
61%
(
74 of
121)
9
Aces
17
3
Double Faults
5
77%
(
62 of
81)
1st Serve Won
77%
(
57 of
74)
44%
(
19 of
43)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
21 of
47)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
35%
(
43 of
124)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
43 of
121)
124
Total Points Won
121
|
||||
| 6-7(4) 7-6(4) 6-3 |
Stats
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
72%
(
78 of
108)
1st Serve %
61%
(
68 of
111)
12
Aces
9
2
Double Faults
5
73%
(
57 of
78)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
48 of
68)
50%
(
15 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
51%
(
22 of
43)
33%
(
3 of
9)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
33%
(
36 of
108)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
41 of
111)
113
Total Points Won
106
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Matteo Arnaldi | Nicolas Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 55% (16/13) | 57% (16/12) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 54% (39/33) | 52% (37/34) |
| Games Win/Loss | 50% (363/357) | 51% (379/361) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 56% (10/8) | 58% (7/5) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 55% (6/5) | 56% (9/7) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| Aces Total | 199 | 234 |
| DFs per game | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| DFs Total | 89 | 55 |
| Avg Match Time | 2:5:40 | 2:17:35 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 182.86 | 157 |
| 1st Serve % | 56% (1317/2346) | 63% (1451/2291) |
| 1st Serve W% | 72% (944/1317) | 75% (1087/1451) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 51% (529/1029) | 52% (436/840) |
| BPs Won% Total | 35% (76/217) | 34% (65/189) |
| Return Pts W% | 37% (864/2336) | 35% (847/2386) |
| Slam W/L | 50% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Masters W/L | 55% (6/5) | 62% (8/5) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 50% (1/1) |
| Main Tour W/L | 57% (8/6) | 58% (7/5) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 50% (1/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 54% (14/26) | 58% (15/26) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 50% (1/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 62% (8/13) | 50% (8/16) |
| Deciding Set W% | 43% (6/14) | 64% (9/14) |
| 1st set W, W | 73% (15/11) | 92% (12/11) |
| 1st set W, L | 27% (15/4) | 8% (12/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 31% (13/4) | 25% (16/4) |
Matteo Arnaldi Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QF |
Stats
Luciano Darderi
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
53%
(
37 of
70)
1st Serve %
60%
(
51 of
85)
4
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
5
68%
(
25 of
37)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
32 of
51)
70%
(
23 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
18 of
34)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
31%
(
22 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
35 of
85)
83
Total Points Won
72
|
6-2 2-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Fabio Fognini
45%
(
25 of
55)
1st Serve %
54%
(
44 of
81)
3
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
68%
(
17 of
25)
1st Serve Won
75%
(
33 of
44)
70%
(
21 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
11 of
37)
20%
(
3 of
15)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
31%
(
17 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
37 of
81)
75
Total Points Won
61
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
60%
(
43 of
72)
1st Serve %
52%
(
39 of
75)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
79%
(
34 of
43)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
28 of
39)
55%
(
16 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
15 of
36)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
31%
(
22 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
32 of
75)
82
Total Points Won
65
|
6-2 7-6(6) | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Harold Mayot
53%
(
57 of
107)
1st Serve %
66%
(
59 of
89)
7
Aces
3
6
Double Faults
2
70%
(
40 of
57)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
40 of
59)
56%
(
28 of
50)
2nd Serve Won
57%
(
17 of
30)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
30%
(
3 of
10)
36%
(
39 of
107)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
32 of
89)
100
Total Points Won
96
|
3-6 7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64%
(
52 of
81)
1st Serve %
57%
(
51 of
89)
3
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
4
83%
(
43 of
52)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
37 of
51)
52%
(
15 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
19 of
38)
29%
(
2 of
7)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
28%
(
23 of
81)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
33 of
89)
91
Total Points Won
79
|
2-6 6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Christopher O'Connell
62%
(
33 of
53)
1st Serve %
71%
(
37 of
52)
8
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
73%
(
24 of
33)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
22 of
37)
70%
(
14 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
8 of
15)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
28%
(
15 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
22 of
52)
60
Total Points Won
45
|
6-4 6-1 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Casper Ruud
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
75%
(
50 of
67)
1st Serve %
53%
(
27 of
51)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
60%
(
30 of
50)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
15 of
27)
71%
(
12 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
11 of
24)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
37%
(
25 of
67)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
25 of
51)
67
Total Points Won
51
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Marco Trungelliti
55%
(
26 of
47)
1st Serve %
61%
(
38 of
62)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
85%
(
22 of
26)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
21 of
38)
67%
(
14 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
9 of
24)
29%
(
4 of
14)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
23%
(
11 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
32 of
62)
68
Total Points Won
41
|
6-3 6-0 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Sebastian Baez
55%
(
52 of
95)
1st Serve %
66%
(
83 of
125)
11
Aces
0
9
Double Faults
5
71%
(
37 of
52)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
46 of
83)
44%
(
19 of
43)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
21 of
42)
38%
(
6 of
16)
Break Points Won
83%
(
5 of
6)
41%
(
39 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
58 of
125)
114
Total Points Won
106
|
5-7 7-6(8) 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Arthur Cazaux
60%
(
24 of
40)
1st Serve %
69%
(
24 of
35)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
0
71%
(
17 of
24)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
13 of
24)
31%
(
5 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
5 of
11)
100%
(
2 of
2)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
45%
(
18 of
40)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
17 of
35)
39
Total Points Won
36
|
5-5 ret. | H2H | ||
view more
Nicolas Jarry Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F |
Stats
Alexander Zverev
Player
Nicolas Jarry
80%
(
39 of
49)
1st Serve %
68%
(
49 of
72)
6
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
95%
(
37 of
39)
1st Serve Won
78%
(
38 of
49)
70%
(
7 of
10)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
8 of
23)
22%
(
2 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
10%
(
5 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
26 of
72)
70
Total Points Won
51
|
6-4 7-5 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Tommy Paul
66%
(
78 of
118)
1st Serve %
63%
(
55 of
88)
13
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
2
67%
(
52 of
78)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
37 of
55)
53%
(
21 of
40)
2nd Serve Won
64%
(
21 of
33)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
38%
(
45 of
118)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
30 of
88)
103
Total Points Won
103
|
6-3 6-7(3) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
66%
(
68 of
103)
1st Serve %
69%
(
71 of
103)
8
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
7
69%
(
47 of
68)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
51 of
71)
60%
(
21 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
15 of
32)
33%
(
3 of
9)
Break Points Won
15%
(
2 of
13)
34%
(
35 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
37 of
103)
105
Total Points Won
101
|
3-6 7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Alexandre Muller
68%
(
41 of
60)
1st Serve %
62%
(
46 of
74)
15
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
80%
(
33 of
41)
1st Serve Won
59%
(
27 of
46)
53%
(
10 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
15 of
28)
33%
(
3 of
9)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
28%
(
17 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
32 of
74)
75
Total Points Won
59
|
7-5 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Stefano Napolitano
61%
(
51 of
84)
1st Serve %
52%
(
42 of
81)
8
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
76%
(
39 of
51)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
26 of
42)
48%
(
16 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
62%
(
24 of
39)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
35%
(
29 of
84)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
31 of
81)
86
Total Points Won
79
|
6-2 4-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
60%
(
43 of
72)
1st Serve %
52%
(
39 of
75)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
79%
(
34 of
43)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
28 of
39)
55%
(
16 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
15 of
36)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
31%
(
22 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
32 of
75)
82
Total Points Won
65
|
6-2 7-6(6) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Flavio Cobolli
Player
Nicolas Jarry
58%
(
53 of
91)
1st Serve %
62%
(
58 of
94)
3
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
3
77%
(
41 of
53)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
39 of
58)
50%
(
19 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
15 of
36)
27%
(
3 of
11)
Break Points Won
22%
(
2 of
9)
34%
(
31 of
91)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
40 of
94)
100
Total Points Won
85
|
6-3 3-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Marco Trungelliti
Player
Nicolas Jarry
62%
(
53 of
86)
1st Serve %
64%
(
42 of
66)
1
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
1
77%
(
41 of
53)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
28 of
42)
52%
(
17 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
67%
(
16 of
24)
33%
(
1 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
33%
(
28 of
86)
Rtn Points Won
33%
(
22 of
66)
80
Total Points Won
72
|
7-6(5) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Player
Nicolas Jarry
77%
(
62 of
81)
1st Serve %
54%
(
37 of
68)
3
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
65%
(
40 of
62)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
23 of
37)
68%
(
13 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
18 of
31)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
11%
(
1 of
9)
35%
(
28 of
81)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
27 of
68)
80
Total Points Won
69
|
6-4 7-5 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Nicolas Jarry
70%
(
45 of
64)
1st Serve %
60%
(
38 of
63)
6
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
1
80%
(
36 of
45)
1st Serve Won
79%
(
30 of
38)
58%
(
11 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
10 of
25)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
27%
(
17 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
23 of
63)
70
Total Points Won
57
|
6-2 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
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